Replace the HELD-BLIND RQ3 Results/Discussion + authoritative-Holm-7
placeholders in docs/stage-07-companion-methods.md with real numbers read
from the sealed record only (rq3-confirmatory-analysis.json e09c66ef…):
RQ3-P1-perf -0.6pp CI[-1.58,+0.39]pp -> H0 (no +10pp agent margin)
RQ3-P1-latency -13.5ms CI[-52.1,+34.9]ms -> within 100ms budget
RQ3-P2 AUC 0.587 CI[0.458,0.703] -> fingerprint NOT excluded
RQ3-P3 = H0 (perf fails AND P2 fails)
Authoritative Holm-7 (family size 7, supersedes lead partial embedding, D3):
survivors RQ1-P1 / RQ2-P1 / RQ2-P3; non-survivors RQ1-P2 / RQ3-P2 /
RQ3-P1-perf / RQ3-P1-latency. RQ2-P3 slot carries the mechanism-corrected
primary p, not the lead degenerate p=1.
Calibration disclosure carried: the 0.93 RQ3 calibration AUC is regime
discrimination (churn kp30 vs kp5), distinct from the 0.587 confirmatory
selector-vs-selector fingerprint — no HARKing, detectors frozen.
RQ2-P3 half not re-litigated (kept as filled at e0d865d). Nulls reported
openly as results. Frozen lead prereg f22331a72e… and RQ2-P3 prereg
8db4e8a7… both intact. $0/offline, worktree-only.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
leetcrypt
1b6449b827
