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docs: QA prose fix — attribute lead RQ1-P1/RQ2-P1 raw p to the lead paper

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Bounded companion-methods QA (blinding / citation-grounding / FREEZE-PENDING all
clean). Prose-only clarification, no number changed: mark the stray raw p ~ 0 as
the lead paper's already-published RQ1-P1/RQ2-P1 result so it cannot be misread as
a held companion figure. HOLDING — awaiting operator freeze (RQ2-P3 §10) / GO
(RQ3 live grid).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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leetcrypt
2026-07-21 20:24:05 -07:00
parent 4f89a9017d
commit 50b1701e6a
2 changed files with 4 additions and 1 deletions
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OVERSEER-STATUS.md
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@@ -94,3 +94,5 @@ RQ2 RATIFIED (operator Andre, 2026-07-20, while blind) — observation-consisten
- 2026-07-21 COMPANION METHODS drafted BLIND + committed (docs/stage-07-companion-methods.md), mirroring lead-paper SS4 discipline: two standalone methods sections — (A) RQ2-P3 mechanism (marked FREEZE-PENDING, §10 unsigned) + (B) RQ3 companion (frozen prereg §3/§4) — plus Intro/Related-Work deltas (unique-bridge/mix motivation; churn + rebuild-fingerprint motivation), reusing only grounded lead citations (+Barton2025 from the frozen prereg RQ3 DV). - 2026-07-21 COMPANION METHODS drafted BLIND + committed (docs/stage-07-companion-methods.md), mirroring lead-paper SS4 discipline: two standalone methods sections — (A) RQ2-P3 mechanism (marked FREEZE-PENDING, §10 unsigned) + (B) RQ3 companion (frozen prereg §3/§4) — plus Intro/Related-Work deltas (unique-bridge/mix motivation; churn + rebuild-fingerprint motivation), reusing only grounded lead citations (+Barton2025 from the frozen prereg RQ3 DV).
- ALL Results/Discussion HELD-BLIND; the ONLY numbers written are already-produced CALIBRATION values, each labelled calibration NOT result (RQ2-P3 dry preview ρ 0→+0.838 / B=1 high-H; RQ3 gates churn-bites + classifier AUC≈0.93 sep / ≈0.52 null). Both confirmatory tracks stay behind their human gates: RQ2-P3 awaits §10 freeze SHA + sign-off; RQ3 awaits operator-GO + live isolated grid (added-latency is live-only). - ALL Results/Discussion HELD-BLIND; the ONLY numbers written are already-produced CALIBRATION values, each labelled calibration NOT result (RQ2-P3 dry preview ρ 0→+0.838 / B=1 high-H; RQ3 gates churn-bites + classifier AUC≈0.93 sep / ≈0.52 null). Both confirmatory tracks stay behind their human gates: RQ2-P3 awaits §10 freeze SHA + sign-off; RQ3 awaits operator-GO + live isolated grid (added-latency is live-only).
- PAPER STRUCTURE LEFT OPEN (operator editorial call — second paper vs folded sections vs mechanism note; not pre-committed). No confirmatory run, no fabricated number, no HARKing; frozen lead prereg f22331a72e… UNTOUCHED; stray docs/.stage-07-paper-draft.md.swp deleted (not committed); containment synthetic/offline, $0; worktree-only feat/sor-consent-relay. - PAPER STRUCTURE LEFT OPEN (operator editorial call — second paper vs folded sections vs mechanism note; not pre-committed). No confirmatory run, no fabricated number, no HARKing; frozen lead prereg f22331a72e… UNTOUCHED; stray docs/.stage-07-paper-draft.md.swp deleted (not committed); containment synthetic/offline, $0; worktree-only feat/sor-consent-relay.
- 2026-07-21 COMPANION-METHODS QA (bounded read-clean) DONE: blinding OK (every number is a design param, frozen gate threshold, or labelled CALIBRATION value — zero HELD-track confirmatory results); citations OK (10 keys all grounded — 9 in lead list, Barton2025 in frozen prereg §3); FREEZE-PENDING + open-structure markers intact. One PROSE fix only (no number changed): attributed a stray `raw p ≈ 0` to the lead paper's already-published RQ1-P1/RQ2-P1 so it can't be misread as a companion figure.
- HOLDING — awaiting operator freeze/GO. Both build tracks complete; both confirmatory tracks blocked on HUMAN gates: RQ2-P3 battery → §10 freeze SHA-256; RQ3 battery + live added-latency → operator-GO + live isolated-docker grid. Standing down: no new stones, no speculative results, no confirmatory work until the operator delivers freeze/GO.
docs/stage-07-companion-methods.md
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@@ -215,7 +215,8 @@ frozen size-7 family {RQ1-P1, RQ1-P2, RQ2-P1, RQ2-P3, RQ3-P1-perf, RQ3-P1-latenc
all seven p-values exist, the companion computes the **exact Holm-7** step-down over the whole all seven p-values exist, the companion computes the **exact Holm-7** step-down over the whole
family; this is the **authoritative** final correction and **supersedes** the lead paper's family; this is the **authoritative** final correction and **supersedes** the lead paper's
deliberately conservative *partial* embedding (7/6/5/4 report-4) — both remain valid, the partial deliberately conservative *partial* embedding (7/6/5/4 report-4) — both remain valid, the partial
never under-corrects, and RQ1-P1 / RQ2-P1 survive regardless (raw p ≈ 0). Effect size + BCa 95% CI never under-corrects, and the lead paper's already-published RQ1-P1 / RQ2-P1 survive regardless
(their reported raw p ≈ 0 — a lead-paper result, not a companion figure). Effect size + BCa 95% CI
for every test; nulls reported honestly (a selector that does **not** beat baselines, or a rebuild for every test; nulls reported honestly (a selector that does **not** beat baselines, or a rebuild
pattern that **is** classifiable, is the finding). The QUIC / `ssh3` transport arm stays pattern that **is** classifiable, is the finding). The QUIC / `ssh3` transport arm stays
**EXPLORATORY and deferred** (design decision D3), never in the Holm family. **EXPLORATORY and deferred** (design decision D3), never in the Holm family.