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SS2: raw-data freeze — confirmatory battery COMPLETE 180/180, checksummed

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Battery output/sor-confirmatory/20260720T060132Z/confirmatory-data finished:
180 cell dirs, each metrics.json + manifest.json + non-empty circuits/ with
per-hop pcaps. Integrity PASS: 0 missing pcaps (27000 pcap + 9000 events.jsonl);
seed provenance verified 180/180 (seed == SHA256(S0=20260719 || cell_id ||
run_index)); R=30 held exactly across all 6 frozen design cells (RQ1{off,on,
on+padding}, RQ2{1house-N,bridge-federated,directory-federated}). No aggregate
battery-results.json (expected, NOT fabricated — 180-cell count is the frozen
completion proxy).

Immutability anchor: SHA256SUMS.txt over 36361 raw artifacts (sorted rel paths);
provenance.json (S0 + seed formula, executor SHA ce68d41, engine=docker
image_digest=null@runtime, timestamps, completion proxy); INTEGRITY-REPORT.md.
Anchors force-added (/output/ gitignored → raw data stays out of git). Raw
metrics.json IMMUTABLE — not recomputed or edited.

SS2 touched structure/checksum/provenance ONLY — no RQ1/RQ2 inferential
statistic (AUC/H/CI) computed or inspected. Next: SS3 frozen-§6 pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
leetcrypt
2026-07-20 22:35:15 -07:00
parent a7c5eb221d
commit 47b2937789
4 changed files with 36495 additions and 0 deletions
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OVERSEER-STATUS.md
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@@ -53,3 +53,7 @@ RQ2 RATIFIED (operator Andre, 2026-07-20, while blind) — observation-consisten
- Loader wired: confirm_load.collect_rq1_p2_paired maps each run_index present in BOTH bridge=on (no-pad) & bridge=on+padding arms → one confirm.PairedCircuit (its two arms' pair sets), fed to the FROZEN confirm.rq1_p2_padding (§6 arm-level ΔAUC preserved; decision layer untouched); per_run_delta_aucs exposes the auditable per-run ΔAUC_i diagnostic; missing-arm run indices are simply unpaired (frozen R NOT redefined; inconclusive if too few remain).
- Unit-tested SYNTHETIC pcaps ONLY (test_sor_confirm_load_rq1p2.py, 4 passed: pair-by-run-index, positive ΔAUC_i when padding flattens, feeds frozen rq1_p2_padding CI>0, graceful missing-arm); full SOR suite 176 passed. No confirmatory record read (prereg §2 blinding: unblocks CODE not RESULTS).
- HARD BLIND HOLD REMAINS: no real RQ1-P2 number until battery completes (battery ~78/180 runs ≈ 43%, alive PID 2539198). prereg SHA INTACT (f22331a72e…); worktree-only feat/sor-consent-relay.
- 2026-07-20 SS2 BATTERY COMPLETE 180/180 cells + RAW DATA FROZEN (committed). Integrity PASS: 180 cell dirs, each metrics.json+manifest.json+non-empty circuits/, 0 missing per-hop pcaps (27000 pcaps + 9000 events.jsonl); seed provenance verified 180/180 (seed==SHA256(S0=20260719‖cell_id‖run_index)); no aggregate battery-results.json (expected, NOT fabricated — 180-cell count is the frozen completion proxy).
- ARM BALANCE (R=30 held exactly): 6 design cells × 30 runs = RQ1{bridge=off,on,on+padding}=30 each + RQ2{1house-N,bridge-federated,directory-federated}=30 each (RQ1=90, RQ2=90; RQ3 not in frozen lattice). Battery window ≈ 2026-07-20T06:11:41Z→2026-07-21T05:24:09Z (~23h).
- IMMUTABILITY ANCHOR: output/…/SHA256SUMS.txt = SHA-256 over 36361 raw artifacts (sorted rel paths), digest 3fb67c7a…; provenance.json (S0+seed formula, executor SHA ce68d41, engine=docker image_digest=null@runtime, timestamps, completion proxy) + INTEGRITY-REPORT.md. Freeze anchors force-added (/output/ gitignored → raw data stays out of git). Raw metrics.json IMMUTABLE, not recomputed.
- BLINDING LIFTED for code-on-real-data; SS2 touched STRUCTURE/CHECKSUM/PROVENANCE ONLY — NO AUC/H/CI computed or inspected. NEXT=SS3 frozen-§6 inferential pass (RQ1-P1/P2 + RQ2-P1/P3 + Holm family=7) in one auditable run. prereg SHA INTACT; worktree-only.