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Step 1 of 9
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The Decision

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{{DECISION_QUESTION}}

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+ Context
+ {{CONTEXT}} +
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Key Tension
+ {{KEY_TENSION}} +
+

Before deciding, let's examine this systematically. Each step focuses on one critical factor.

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Step 2 of 9
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First Principles

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Does this solve a problem you cannot solve yourself?

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+ Your Current Capabilities
+ {{CURRENT_CAPABILITIES}} +
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+ + + +
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+
First Principles Test
+ If you can solve it yourself, external dependency adds risk without proportional value. +
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Step 3 of 9
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Timing

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Is now the right time for this commitment?

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+
+ + 6 +
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+ 1 week + 12 weeks +
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+ + 3 +
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+ 1h + 20h +
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18h
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Total hours before milestone
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+ + +
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Step 4 of 9
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Stakeholders

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Are the people/team involved stable and reliable?

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+ What You Know
+ {{STAKEHOLDER_INFO}} +
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+ + 5 +
+ +
+ 1 = Very unstable + 10 = Rock solid +
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+
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Stakeholder Signal
+ Consider past patterns of commitment and follow-through. +
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Step 5 of 9
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Bias Check

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What might be clouding your judgment?

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Check any biases you recognize in yourself. Be honest.

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+ + + + + + +
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Bias Count
+ 0 potential biases identified. +
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Step 6 of 9
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Opportunity Cost

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What are you giving up?

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+ + +
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$1,800
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Opportunity cost
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That time could instead produce:

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    +
  • {{ALTERNATIVE_1}}
    • +
  • {{ALTERNATIVE_2}}
    • +
  • {{ALTERNATIVE_3}}
    • +
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Step 7 of 9
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Scenarios

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What could happen?

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+ Worst case + {{WORST_PROB}}% +
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{{WORST_OUTCOME}}
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+ Neutral case + {{NEUTRAL_PROB}}% +
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{{NEUTRAL_OUTCOME}}
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+ Best case + {{BEST_PROB}}% +
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{{BEST_OUTCOME}}
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Step 8 of 9
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Questions to Answer

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What do you still need to learn?

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Click questions to mark as answered.

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+ + {{QUESTIONS_LIST}} +
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+ + +
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Step 9 of 9
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Your Decision

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+

Analysis Summary

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+ Solves unique problem? + — +
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+ Hours available + — +
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+ Stakeholder stability + — +
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+ Biases identified + — +
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+ Opportunity cost + — +
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+

Based on your analysis, what's your decision?

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+ {{DECISION_OPTIONS}} +
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+
Your Decision
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—
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+